{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B8XSR8GJT6",
  "slug": "govpartytx-26",
  "question": "Texas Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "texas-governor",
    "state-executive",
    "partisan-outcome"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2027 Texas gubernatorial election outcome. Kalshi lists both parties as separate binary contracts, letting traders price each side independently. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against official Texas state election results. The two contracts are complementary; together they must sum to near certainty.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W1B57374J0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.81,
    "implied_probability": 0.81
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-416JP93H38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B8XSR8GJT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYTX-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas",
      "description": "Gina Hinojosa",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gina Hinojosa: The named candidate's party affiliation and official election results from US State Governments determine the outcome by January 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 405.08950000000004,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B8XSR8GJT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYTX-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas",
      "description": "Greg Abbott",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Greg Abbott: The named candidate's party affiliation and official election results from US State Governments determine the outcome by January 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-20T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 100,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 2935.0593000000003,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-B8XSR8GJT6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}