{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
  "slug": "gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-august-1785423806591",
  "question": "Will GPU rental prices for B200 decrease by the end of August?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai-hardware",
    "gpu-market",
    "nvidia-b200",
    "rental-pricing",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Ornn B200 Index, a daily closing price for Nvidia B200 GPU rental rates, on August 31, 2026. Six contiguous Polymarket binary contracts span price tiers from below $5.50 to $7.50 and above, together forming a discrete probability distribution over the rate level. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the finalized closing price published on Ornnai.com. The authoritative source is Ornnai.com's dashboard, not any exchange or secondary data feed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3F03MC73B9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.16,
    "implied_probability": 0.16
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XBTXBM3GF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6a1ed7ae1d473274c1350590981fd9b9f544dbbec1946fc236fe274b4527525e",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$5.50: Ornnai.com B200 Index finalized daily closing price on August 31, 2026, as shown on the dashboard chart, with the next business day's publication marking finalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 205,
      "volume_total_usd": 413.952486,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB4CBED5BF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "ornn b200 index",
        "pricing",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WSSN3ZZ4Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x172b6d9d62cc7700efd9abc2d2caca06a45a54c18ad4a379eb7c9ed7e4a4f713",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$5.50-$6.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index finalized daily closing price on August 31, 2026, as shown on the dashboard chart, with the next business day's publication marking finalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 135.028447,
      "volume_total_usd": 209.110447,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADE93F050C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "ornn b200 index",
        "pricing",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3F03MC73B9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfff9a0f35f78f78278e2090e11607de9ceaad161f2cb6ae4345ffcb7ef43de51",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$6.00-$6.50: Ornnai.com B200 Index finalized daily closing price on August 31, 2026, as shown on the dashboard chart, with the next business day's publication marking finalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8878.769999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 9822.38294,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B42B050E38",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "ornn b200 index",
        "pricing",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1SQBCZNF23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a16f41b3b2e269acc4b4d26116f1f803a772f88f61f176dd8a89ead15855ba2",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$6.50-$7.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index finalized daily closing price on August 31, 2026, as shown on the dashboard chart, with the next business day's publication marking finalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1970.4200000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 3516.5233319999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADE93F050C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "ornn b200 index",
        "pricing",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z8BBXK7820",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5457dbe3f3327291f2fd97fc17bc5034cfa2466ab04ec00949a9c6cb69654892",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$7.00-$7.50: Ornnai.com B200 Index finalized daily closing price on August 31, 2026, as shown on the dashboard chart, with the next business day's publication marking finalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7,
      "volume_total_usd": 162.966863,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7D79CF616C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "ornn b200 index",
        "pricing",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8YY9B7SJV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9323d3f75743e9d0c28a07f047cd18c1e8a1669dcdacb7530d33da95e73d21f7",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$7.50+: Ornnai.com B200 Index finalized daily closing price on August 31, 2026, as shown on the dashboard chart, with the next business day's publication marking finalization.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "threshold": 7.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-32CDF5FD7E",
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      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-T8RSRNL113",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}