{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
  "slug": "gpu-rental-prices-b200-end-of-july-20260626214212582",
  "question": "Will GPU rental prices for the B200 be below $X per hour by the end of July?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "gpu-rental",
    "nvidia-b200",
    "pricing",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Ornn B200 Index, a per-GPU-hour rental price benchmark for NVIDIA B200 hardware, on July 31, 2026. Six mutually exclusive Polymarket tranches span below $3.00 to $7.00 and above, collectively forming a probability distribution over the rate level. All six resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against daily chart data published by Ornnai.com. Ornnai.com is a proprietary index provider; traders should note limited audit trail compared to exchange-published benchmarks.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NC58HH1MG8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.68,
    "implied_probability": 0.68
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GHQ5JY4FJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21d30acf7c51fde8883eeeb7f4d29d1074573c4d69ad32165427a67e25bc7c69",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$3.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026 resolves the market once the daily value finalizes, with ties resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8246.696128,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F275814F7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 gpu",
        "ornn",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8QSFYM23J6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fb9f9c93e6cbe15c1ef5ccd69ea29d7cebc8fc62cbaf9ed3e0bcde72ee746f3",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3.00-$4.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026 resolves the market once the daily value finalizes, with ties resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 7353.983825999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-28644FADFB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 gpu",
        "ornn",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1DZ8W67C68",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe7f69ea9dc50a1b2a2a2ef4da94a905463e46292d17650e520dd9a7204b0adb5",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$4.00-$5.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026 resolves the market once the daily value finalizes, with ties resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 13817.550156,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7D5AEB2B8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 gpu",
        "ornn",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GZ2X81DF19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x16790113f600c016210879cdadd50bde7a64c4db32a0223fdb71746c932f5d10",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$5.00-$6.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026 resolves the market once the daily value finalizes, with ties resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.142,
      "implied_probability": 0.142,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 12329.33451,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7D5AEB2B8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 gpu",
        "ornn",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NC58HH1MG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7e790f014505c39871850bc24dc20627fee82dc20e494434b19d70b52f873f23",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$6.00-$7.00: Ornnai.com B200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026 resolves the market once the daily value finalizes, with ties resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.68,
      "implied_probability": 0.68,
      "volume_24h_usd": 797,
      "volume_total_usd": 14089.957128000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-28644FADFB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 gpu",
        "ornn",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G7KDXH0YL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdd69915b7839e66866cf9f69013c26f54682640ea08458c32c4062119b182ecd",
      "question": "Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$7.00+: Ornnai.com B200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026 resolves the market once the daily value finalizes, with ties resolving to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.157,
      "implied_probability": 0.157,
      "volume_24h_usd": 309.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 10378.276782,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": "CMX-7EA1C01C96",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "b200",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia b200 gpu",
        "ornn",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X1NT84JFF8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}