{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
  "slug": "gpu-rental-prices-h100-end-of-2026-20260709164334623",
  "question": "Will GPU rental prices for H100 reach a specified level by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai-infrastructure",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "cloud-compute",
    "h100-demand",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Ornn H100 Index, a spot price index for NVIDIA H100 GPU rental rates, as of December 31, 2026. Seven Polymarket binaries partition the rate level into $0.50-wide strike tiers from below $1.50 to above $4.00 per hour. Taken together, the tier probabilities form an implied probability distribution over the H100 spot rate. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Ornnai.com daily closing index data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VG4FTSZF76",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.286,
    "implied_probability": 0.286
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BBT4BYKYG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x449bb53a80d03f5a5132184e9d4c0ae6250fb7c7cc4c38adce229fceff720410",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$1.50: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1052.254172,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-9B45853877",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h100",
        "ornn h100 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QB8X2J51N2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbd24100c715623bfbc3fa8dcf96ed128424d1ebf3125b02af4297754dadabbe6",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.50-$2.00: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.119,
      "implied_probability": 0.119,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 5170.801434999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-933CAE85C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h100",
        "ornn h100 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VG4FTSZF76",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9db9afbe85271d330588624114a3b5865e47aa5f9cc71eb4106046d3db2cee5f",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2.00-$2.50: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.286,
      "implied_probability": 0.286,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 12406.534480999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-933CAE85C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h100",
        "ornn h100 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MT6ZHN4YK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd2c635e1ae17b1eed6bbecfd58764daafe67e223df7725fd90ea314768253708",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2.50-$3.00: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.259,
      "implied_probability": 0.259,
      "volume_24h_usd": 300,
      "volume_total_usd": 5351.978844,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-933CAE85C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h100",
        "ornn h100 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DPY75Q0Q86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbe183fe03c96a338852d8c89be28d8d42b2ba1d45410cdb8054d0137ba7b787c",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3.00-$3.50: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.129,
      "implied_probability": 0.129,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 5831.966692,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-933CAE85C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h100",
        "ornn h100 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3RQZVXVN19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5128e78da8c2b546468b723751ed37cc5b71795ba41625eb78f0aa34d0f1a2ff",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3.50-$4.00: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.128,
      "implied_probability": 0.128,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1345.848218,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-933CAE85C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h100",
        "ornn h100 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-40HSV0C9F2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TD7VR8N797",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe144566b6626ffca25edeb9e0d986bc89fde8d6aede82987aefb121ea272dc04",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$4.00+: Ornnai.com H100 Index chart data for December 31, 2026, determines the finalized daily closing value; ties resolve to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. ",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
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