{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
  "slug": "gpu-rental-prices-h200-end-of-july-20260626215340357",
  "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai-hardware",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "cloud-infrastructure",
    "h200-index",
    "july-2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Ornn H200 Index, a per-GPU-hour rental price benchmark for NVIDIA H200 hardware. All six Polymarket contracts span contiguous price tiers from below $2.00 to $6.00 and above, resolving July 31, 2026. Together they form a discrete probability distribution over the H200 spot rental rate. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using Ornnai.com index data finalized once the August 1 data point publishes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6028QHS5J8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.52,
    "implied_probability": 0.52
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D5XNC9WDZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd555b0a4ffd689e1a9e806ad3e2b36fe5ecaa4de138de1c9206e16f1754592ea",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$2.00: Ornnai.com H200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026, finalized once the following day's data point publishes, determines which bracket the listed index price falls into.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.034,
      "implied_probability": 0.034,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3521.5361240000007,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-920CC8ECB0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "ornn h200 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DR7R7NJ5R6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x293407b73c851756e67b6251d308ddec8de76eaf63a34ff1bb48b01e3d81d713",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2.00-$3.00: Ornnai.com H200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026, finalized once the following day's data point publishes, determines which bracket the listed index price falls into.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.110415,
      "volume_total_usd": 2788.279372000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-5EBB80910E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "ornn h200 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0DTT11D309",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x342d6456567b2114b09c65f93af9a0c4352fe8fe97d3cbc5fa9da72091e5b32a",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3.00-$4.00: Ornnai.com H200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026, finalized once the following day's data point publishes, determines which bracket the listed index price falls into.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.042,
      "implied_probability": 0.042,
      "volume_24h_usd": 40,
      "volume_total_usd": 6570.704444999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-6466D77DE8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "ornn h200 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6028QHS5J8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc61d4ada5965cac6df6dc1be724eb19f3cd65ded777cbf1667bf493a05da379",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$4.00-$5.00: Ornnai.com H200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026, finalized once the following day's data point publishes, determines which bracket the listed index price falls into.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1626.1534499999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 13064.836553,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-6466D77DE8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "ornn h200 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M0D72TDVP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb48ba203f61a59f742a72802ffb64591953f6aeb98c452e79d8530d058e0fdcd",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$5.00-$6.00: Ornnai.com H200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026, finalized once the following day's data point publishes, determines which bracket the listed index price falls into.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.39,
      "implied_probability": 0.39,
      "volume_24h_usd": 69.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 3207.3739150000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-5EBB80910E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "ornn h200 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y3MDZ4JRJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbf3345b44da3d93b1a2e056a4eb6b8a04f616364573b725c59238e52a2e0bebf",
      "question": "Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$6.00+: Ornnai.com H200 Index chart data for July 31, 2026, finalized once the following day's data point publishes, determines which bracket the listed index price falls into.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. \n\nIf the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nResolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Ornnai.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ornnai.com",
            "url": "Ornnai.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornnai.com (ornnai.com)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ornnai.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 53,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.15,
      "volume_total_usd": 2202.1902149999987,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F3C51181F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "ornn h200 index",
        "price",
        "rental"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1PYT6J5687",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}