{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1ZNZM37HZ5",
  "slug": "greater-manchester-mayoral-election-most-1st-preference-votes-20260625163310509",
  "question": "Will the Labour candidate receive the most first preference votes in the Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "uk-local-elections",
    "greater-manchester",
    "2026",
    "mayoral-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate receives the most valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election. Polymarket lists individual binary contracts per candidate, each resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. All markets close and resolve July 30, 2026. Greater Manchester's official election authority is the authoritative source for the reported vote totals.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LMQRL5R8M5",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Kate Green win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Kate Green: Greater Manchester's official election authority will report the candidate receiving the most valid first preference votes in the July 30, 2026 mayoral election, with tie-breaking by election winner if needed.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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      "question": "Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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      "question": "Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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      "question": "Will Jake Austin win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1ZNZM37HZ5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7b656cbfb36c48b49bbfcca3c16ef677c805501b8201e90c85a758c32614bc50",
      "question": "Will Paul Dennett win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market wil",
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      "underlying_reference": "Paul Dennett: Greater Manchester's official election authority will report the candidate receiving the most valid first preference votes in the July 30, 2026 mayoral election, with tie-breaking by election winner if needed.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.\n\nIf two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).",
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