{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-58BV728DF1",
  "slug": "gta-6-launch-postponed-again",
  "question": "Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be postponed again?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "pop-culture",
    "tech",
    "gaming-industry",
    "release-delays",
    "rockstar-games"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive officially postpones the Grand Theft Auto VI release again before November 2026. Resolution depends on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle interpreting an official announcement from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive. No cross-platform structural contrast is available; only one market exists. Traders should monitor Take-Two's investor communications directly for binding release date disclosures.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-16Y2Z9ZZJ3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.09,
    "implied_probability": 0.09
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-16Y2Z9ZZJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-58BV728DF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x652293940a98a7ec9b1d2b23fb9e8399728d1a461dce61523fa2fcce8d844e21",
      "question": "GTA 6 launch postponed again?",
      "description": "On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this mar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive's official announcement regarding Grand Theft Auto VI's release status by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-19T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-19T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Rockstar Games",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Take-Two Interactive",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1622.6725370000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 581743.7672550047,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6ED369FCEF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gaming",
        "gta launch",
        "release date",
        "rockstar games"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-58BV728DF1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}