{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CFW07T0JV5",
  "slug": "gta-vi-ps5-launch-price-20260618223907119",
  "question": "Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on PlayStation 5 at a price of $69.99 or less?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tech",
    "pop-culture",
    "video-game-pricing",
    "gta-vi",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the base-version launch price of Grand Theft Auto VI on PS5, resolving November 19, 2026. Polymarket structures all three as binary threshold questions at $60, $70, and $80. The $60 and $70 markets function as directional floors; the $80 market prices whether Rockstar exceeds current premium pricing norms. Resolution depends on PlayStation's official US product page, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7XLZ7XZ08",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.972,
    "implied_probability": 0.972
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT2GDXG2S1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CFW07T0JV5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7b1c1cdeb9aac43ed89f37f8920fb5eb25f2ad4c2331c442c4015d95648df809",
      "question": "Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?",
      "description": "Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$60+: PlayStation's official US product page will confirm the advertised base-version launch price on November 19, 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-19T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-19T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered.\n\nIf the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch.\n\nIf GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "playstation.com",
            "url": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "PlayStation US online store",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.969,
      "implied_probability": 0.969,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4749.193599000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": "CMX-27CC38D539",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gta vi",
        "gta vi ps5",
        "pricing",
        "ps5"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7XLZ7XZ08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CFW07T0JV5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0d6aec5685b12b3d87f133bbdcde6198d9173f2457a0e985e40ed4267a60cf42",
      "question": "Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?",
      "description": "Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$70+: PlayStation's official US product page will confirm the advertised base-version launch price on November 19, 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-19T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-19T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered.\n\nIf the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch.\n\nIf GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "playstation.com",
            "url": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "PlayStation US online store",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.972,
      "implied_probability": 0.972,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 31182.311605000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": "CMX-69BFE1ABC1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gta vi",
        "gta vi ps5",
        "pricing",
        "ps5"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WWYHTPRF11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CFW07T0JV5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9f6499271639fa06cd6c1d0905e125fa4bdad8e5522ecc5501bd334dfd62cdef",
      "question": "Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?",
      "description": "Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$80+: PlayStation's official US product page will confirm the advertised base-version launch price on November 19, 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-19T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-19T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Grand Theft Auto VI is currently scheduled to be released for the PlayStation 5 console on November 19, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the US launch price of the base version of Grand Theft Auto VI for the PlayStation 5 is greater than or equal to the specified price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the advertised price. Any additional sales or consumption tax, if not included in the advertised price, will not be considered for resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the base version of the game, excluding any optional add-ons. This market will resolve solely based on the price for the PlayStation 5 console. The price available on any other console will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first price available to consumers upon general launch of the game. The game will be considered launched when it is publicly available for download or retail purchase. Any preorder, invite-only, couponed, or closed offering price will not be considered. Any later revisions to the launch price will not be considered.\n\nIf the GTA VI launch price differs based on region of the US, this market will consider the lowest advertised price at launch.\n\nIf GTA VI is not launched for the PlayStation 5, or is not available as a standalone purchase (e.g. exclusively accessed as part of a subscription), by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/). If no price is available on the PlayStation US online store, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "playstation.com",
            "url": "https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "PlayStation US online store (https://www.playstation.com/en-us/games/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "PlayStation US online store",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.064,
      "implied_probability": 0.064,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 28002.752693000013,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": "CMX-9E81843E9A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gta vi",
        "gta vi ps5",
        "pricing",
        "ps5"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CFW07T0JV5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}