{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJBFXNQ4K8",
  "slug": "guam-governor-republican-primary-winner-363",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner for Guam Governor be determined by the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "guam",
    "2026",
    "republican-primary",
    "governor"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election. All markets are on Polymarket, each pricing a binary outcome for a named or placeholder candidate. The markets are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves YES. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against certified primary results, with the market closing August 1, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YK6BT25KQ3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.001
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HLJTHV4357",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJBFXNQ4K8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x73ff7789989688f99810a16020072cadd8cc7770a1912045f5db08c13fc32382",
      "question": "Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Vicente Ada: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Guam Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 74,
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      "question": "Will Marcel Camacho win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "question": "Will Douglas Moylan win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x13d28812a11e2b5c6700d760b76af6889579e10d4f52964b1716aa8775b22f5a",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FW9ZKK6NN9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf46a9828a7a2a04e54fb0cc358174d2182c767e104b306dde3075245a8eaee2e",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate F win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HJWX154YP6",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcec02582da8af0e18dab824f4c62743a9bab654734096b2468df450c2bc807d6",
      "question": "Will Candidate H win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate H: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XMVKXQ3FD8",
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      "question": "Will Candidate J win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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