{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9F02RZ6C04",
  "slug": "gustavo-petro-out-as-leader-of-colombia-by",
  "question": "Will Gustavo Petro be out as leader of Colombia by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "colombia",
    "political-leadership",
    "latin-america",
    "2026",
    "executive-removal"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Colombian President Gustavo Petro loses power before each successive deadline in 2026. The four Polymarket contracts are structured as a term-date ladder: June 30, July 31, August 31, and December 31. Earlier-expiry contracts are logically bounded by the December contract, creating implied spread relationships across the curve. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8LVBRNFL06",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NLTW17Q3Y2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9F02RZ6C04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5cc9eb3cd306825cdbaa370915eff398da4a25f6fb419abcd634bf4e731df934",
      "question": "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "name": "official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.998,
      "implied_probability": 0.998,
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      "volume_total_usd": 67925.04219900002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "petro",
        "political"
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      "question": "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 281262.24072399974,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QTGR578G53",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9F02RZ6C04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "2479933",
      "question": "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70JPJ602H3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9F02RZ6C04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "2479934",
      "question": "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within thi",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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