{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-97GCZBGWV8",
  "slug": "houseakal-26",
  "question": "Will the Alaska House winner be determined by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
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  "tags": [
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    "alaska-politics",
    "house-elections",
    "2027-election",
    "us-federal",
    "electoral-outcome"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Alaska at-large House race for the 2026 midterm cycle. Kalshi structures the event across three parallel binary contracts: Democratic party win, Republican party win, and named candidate Bill Hill. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination referencing the Library of Congress. Resolution is set for January 4, 2027.",
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    "implied_probability": 0.8,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-76M3NYWJW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97GCZBGWV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAKAL-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for AK-AL?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves per Kalshi staff determination referencing the Library of Congress official records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a member of the Democratic party is sworn in for AK-AL for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "score": 90,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.046,
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      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "house"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97GCZBGWV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAKAL-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for AK-AL?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves per Kalshi staff determination referencing the Library of Congress official records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a member of the Republican party is sworn in for AK-AL for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
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      "implied_probability": 0.8,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-97GCZBGWV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAKAL-26-BHIL",
      "question": "Will Bill Hill win the House race for AK-AL?",
      "description": "Bill Hill",
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      "underlying_reference": "Bill Hill: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves per Kalshi staff determination referencing the Library of Congress official records by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Bill Hill is sworn in for AK-AL for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-97GCZBGWV8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}