{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LXDD9FJGX0",
  "slug": "houseaz1-26",
  "question": "Will the winner of the Arizona 1st Congressional District House election be determined by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-2027",
    "arizona-elections",
    "az-01-district",
    "congressional-race",
    "election-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the party outcome of the Arizona 1st Congressional District House race. Kalshi lists complementary binary contracts: one pricing a Democratic win, one pricing a Republican win. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Library of Congress official election results. The two contracts are structural mirrors; combined implied probability should sum to approximately 100%.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7X6S12L5R4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.73,
    "implied_probability": 0.73
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7X6S12L5R4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LXDD9FJGX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAZ1-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-1?",
      "description": "Amish Shah",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Amish Shah: Library of Congress official election results determine which party wins the named House seat, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for AZ-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "volume_24h_usd": 49.0706,
      "volume_total_usd": 5125.3592,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "amish shah",
        "arizona 1st congressional",
        "az-01",
        "democrat",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NBQLRDRZ31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LXDD9FJGX0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAZ1-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for AZ-1?",
      "description": "Jay Feely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jay Feely: Library of Congress official election results determine which party wins the named House seat, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for AZ-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1554.7917,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "arizona 1st congressional",
        "az-01",
        "house",
        "jay feely",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LXDD9FJGX0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}