{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2G9FBHFVL0",
  "slug": "houseaz6-26",
  "question": "AZ-06 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "arizona-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "election-prediction",
    "az-06"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "AZ-06 tracks the 2026 Arizona 6th Congressional District House race. Kalshi lists two binary contracts: one on a Democratic win and one on a Republican win. Both sides price the same seat, making them complementary rather than structurally distinct. The Library of Congress official records serve as the authoritative resolution source, with Kalshi staff determining final settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KK2TW1FBD4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.83,
    "implied_probability": 0.83
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KK2TW1FBD4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2G9FBHFVL0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAZ6-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-6?",
      "description": "JoAnna Mendoza",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "JoAnna Mendoza: The Library of Congress official records determine which party's named candidate wins the referenced House race, resolved by Kalshi staff on January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5410.512699999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "az 06 house",
        "az-06",
        "democratic",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YTQ7099191",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2G9FBHFVL0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEAZ6-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for AZ-6?",
      "description": "Juan Ciscomani",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Juan Ciscomani: The Library of Congress official records determine which party's named candidate wins the referenced House race, resolved by Kalshi staff on January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 24.658,
      "volume_total_usd": 1864.2759999999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "az 06 house",
        "az-06",
        "house",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2G9FBHFVL0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}