{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NGN22C8C86",
  "slug": "houseca41-26",
  "question": "Will a representative for California's 41st congressional district be elected by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "california-politics",
    "2027-elections",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 general election outcome for California's 41st Congressional District. Kalshi structures the race as two candidate-specific binary contracts: one on Democrat Linda Sánchez, one on Republican Mitch Clemmons. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination referencing Library of Congress records. The paired structure lets traders express directional views on either named candidate independently.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LGJRY35RY0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.936,
    "implied_probability": 0.936
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LGJRY35RY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NGN22C8C86",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSECA41-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for CA-41?",
      "description": "Linda Sánchez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Linda Sánchez: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's general election outcome, based on Library of Congress records, resolves January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CA-41 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.936,
      "implied_probability": 0.936,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5659.992,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ca 41 house",
        "california",
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        "house",
        "linda-sanchez"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FJPMVP7WL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NGN22C8C86",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSECA41-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?",
      "description": "Mitch Clemmons",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mitch Clemmons: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's general election outcome, based on Library of Congress records, resolves January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CA-41 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 87.38000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "california",
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        "mitch-clemmons",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NGN22C8C86",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}