{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L7WZYS9XQ4",
  "slug": "housenm2-26",
  "question": "NM-02 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "new-mexico",
    "house-race",
    "us-election",
    "congressional-district"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the November 2027 U.S. House race for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district. Both are binary outcome markets on Kalshi, structured as opposing directional questions on the same seat. Together they imply a complementary probability pair summing to near 100%. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination via Library of Congress confirmation by January 4, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-821Y1GNZG9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.901,
    "implied_probability": 0.901
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-821Y1GNZG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L7WZYS9XQ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSENM2-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for NM-2?",
      "description": "Gabe Vasquez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gabe Vasquez: The Library of Congress will confirm the elected representative for the referenced House seat by January 4, 2027, resolving outcomes based on official election results.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for NM-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.901,
      "implied_probability": 0.901,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5835.02016,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "new mexico",
        "nm 02 house",
        "vasquez"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SHZD8G8HF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L7WZYS9XQ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSENM2-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for NM-2?",
      "description": "Greg Cunningham",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Greg Cunningham: The Library of Congress will confirm the elected representative for the referenced House seat by January 4, 2027, resolving outcomes based on official election results.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for NM-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2138.4633,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cunningham",
        "house",
        "new mexico",
        "nm 02 house",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-L7WZYS9XQ4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}