{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYRD31F2R5",
  "slug": "houseny17-26",
  "question": "Will a new representative be elected for New York's 17th House district by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "new-york",
    "2026-midterms",
    "partisan-prediction",
    "electoral-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the party outcome of the NY-17 House race, resolving by January 4, 2027. Both markets are Kalshi-native, structured as complementary binary legs: one prices a Democratic win, the other prices a Republican win. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution on both legs. Summing implied probabilities across legs reveals any residual third-party or no-contest probability the market assigns.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L6LF620306",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.73,
    "implied_probability": 0.73
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6LF620306",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYRD31F2R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSENY17-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for NY-17?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party winning the referenced House race resolves according to Kalshi staff determination using final results from the Library of Congress by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for NY-17 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "volume_24h_usd": 24.528,
      "volume_total_usd": 7430.6846000000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "new-york",
        "ny 17 house",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1C6Z4Q64B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYRD31F2R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSENY17-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for NY-17?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party winning the referenced House race resolves according to Kalshi staff determination using final results from the Library of Congress by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for NY-17 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 85.95899999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3471.9120000000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "new-york",
        "ny 17 house",
        "republican",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YYRD31F2R5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}