{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KM8JBN12",
  "slug": "housepa10-26",
  "question": "Will a winner be determined in the PA-10 House race?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "pennsylvania-politics",
    "2027-elections",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "congressional-races"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District House race. Kalshi lists two complementary binary contracts: one on a Democratic victory, one on a Republican victory. Together they price the same outcome from opposite directional positions. The Library of Congress serves as the authoritative resolution source, with Kalshi staff determining settlement by January 4, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6K8HFCFQZ5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.75,
    "implied_probability": 0.75
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6K8HFCFQZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KM8JBN12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEPA10-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10?",
      "description": "Janelle Stelson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Janelle Stelson: The Library of Congress resolves which party's candidate won the listed House race, by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for PA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4713.93,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "pa-10",
        "pennsylvania 10th district",
        "stelson"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MC291FC398",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-29KM8JBN12",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEPA10-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for PA-10?",
      "description": "Scott Perry",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Perry: The Library of Congress resolves which party's candidate won the listed House race, by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for PA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1945.4418,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "house",
        "pa-10",
        "pennsylvania 10th district",
        "perry",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-29KM8JBN12",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}