{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RB6J9TCV17",
  "slug": "housepa8-26",
  "question": "PA-08 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "pa-08",
    "house-election",
    "2026-midterm",
    "us-politics",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the 2026 Pennsylvania 8th Congressional District House race outcome. Both markets are listed on Kalshi and price the binary outcome from opposite directional sides. One contract pays on a Democratic win; the other pays on a Republican win. Kalshi staff determination references Library of Congress certification as the authoritative resolution source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J8SHLG54N4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.64,
    "implied_probability": 0.64
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J8SHLG54N4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RB6J9TCV17",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEPA8-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8?",
      "description": "Paige Cognetti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Paige Cognetti: The Library of Congress will confirm which party's candidate won the referenced House race, resolving by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for PA-8 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.64,
      "implied_probability": 0.64,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3978.4064000000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "house",
        "pa-08",
        "paige cognetti",
        "pennsylvania 8th district"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLM2W0T0N5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RB6J9TCV17",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSEPA8-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for PA-8?",
      "description": "Rob Bresnahan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rob Bresnahan: The Library of Congress will confirm which party's candidate won the referenced House race, resolving by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for PA-8 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2270.9676,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "house",
        "pa-08",
        "pennsylvania 8th district",
        "republican",
        "rob bresnahan"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RB6J9TCV17",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}