{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F19JK9H606",
  "slug": "housetx34-26",
  "question": "Will the Republican candidate win the TX-34 House seat in the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "tx-34",
    "house-election",
    "2026-midterm",
    "us-politics",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "TX-34 tracks the U.S. House race between Vicente Gonzalez and Eric Flores. Kalshi lists both candidates as separate binary contracts, each priced on the opposing outcome. Both markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Library of Congress records. Together, the two contracts function as an implied spread on candidate probability.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YC9JNH5HS4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.77,
    "implied_probability": 0.77
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YC9JNH5HS4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F19JK9H606",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSETX34-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for TX-34?",
      "description": "Vicente Gonzalez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Vicente Gonzalez: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's election outcome, based on Library of Congress records, by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TX-34 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8821.2432,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S39GG24V06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F19JK9H606",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "HOUSETX34-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for TX-34?",
      "description": "Eric Flores",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Flores: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's election outcome, based on Library of Congress records, by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TX-34 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2813.5916,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-F19JK9H606",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}