{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
  "slug": "houthis-successfully-target-shipping-onptptpt-20260722225036915",
  "question": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "shipping-security",
    "houthis",
    "red-sea",
    "2026",
    "maritime-conflict"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Houthi forces successfully target commercial shipping on each individual calendar date through mid-2026. All 39 contracts are daily binary markets on Polymarket, structured identically with no cross-platform counterpart offering a continuous or magnitude-based view. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against contemporaneous incident reporting. The absence of a Kalshi equivalent means no parallel rate-level or frequency-tier pricing exists to triangulate implied attack cadence.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P5RFTRJYX3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P5RFTRJYX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x30f5b1b7b2a9611d7a9e449807374654fce999cc3accf748b23bd5a76a86b94e",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 24: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-25T06:22:43Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x68da1682326e46aff81cdc17ef35f40bc70a7d5560fbb630fa410cebca2f22c5",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 25, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 25: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-25T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T05:08:56Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QKHJ9H4PD1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf3e51b42739751fa03f8327e9fcd00214fc1a7312c48383f126dd1e994c5013d",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 26: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T02:56:57Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-71RQP75ZT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8fe41944034191ca2e02c8ec219065c0ddcfc852b29e8ecccfdfdf48c55fbf15",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 27: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T01:23:27Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1434.565789,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LKWBJ21348",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a1ccb43684fc2efa5f72137bcb8e6bf9733a31f19dbb100e7b6a41d1840770d",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 28: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T03:29:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H77HQGM997",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x58c126efd010ce4e606675534eebb4382a0a4483ab6d68b17ad1c9ccd98b48f8",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 29, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "July 29: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T02:04:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 150.1,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q5R5NHLM85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c56b6e9df9ae8160c7269969d22f42ed3215550be61b70dbfe18873f2009f71",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T02:20:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 95,
      "volume_total_usd": 2730.0176579999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "houthis successfully target"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P62MXY4RM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9d581b9f92a725038e3dbd91fa7c9024d11b27e881a28d64bfe669e15f012642",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T02:22:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-02T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xed7a0569cbbbbdfbc694a832c67a9a35ace8fce985ed26373e515a7f245bc8f8",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 3: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SCG8CJZ532",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8519f6d115bf98c73263f6b737b78bdaa62c992b9d3c32c9c8eae57800a5153a",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V0PH58PFQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 5: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7B2T855BS6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcaed82e36fc78d150b0902d4f265ab630dcb3380a5a7e1eea84be80e7a541abd",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 6: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NDKC32G975",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf3aa6128b1d97da9c085b824b224f6af2b359f93bdfcd563d77f10e62ed9a565",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 7: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-09T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-10T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8LYCMRJ161",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x4fb6ce05f52edd93cf218a1061b4f90cab84635202ba8958f37deb6d9838dea5",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BK7GX49GV9",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3cb3b3d7c246c518682dfee9e2e835dd2f70a6cf67942e63430d47bad3b34098",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 13, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2G5KHQDGW8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3WH36MG99",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd69f7f4c5e84a1fde940ed95cc489c80b6c473d8393db0ac53fedbcd771688d7",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GCKMP80NG4",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd0bbc881c89b39b789279634464e17b0a57124b2bc0777f610c803b14cd7c856",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 15: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 22, 2026?",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RT6G3S583",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd1b933dae8c5027efd82500f7b0b7d2a48f376a6c8b226ee1f2e9c5b4b9797f5",
      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 23, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and mi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 28, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 29, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "question": "Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 30, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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