{
  "_notice": {
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SDTDSWSB6",
  "slug": "how-many-dissent-at-the-july-fed-meeting-20260616001900143",
  "question": "Will there be at least one dissent at the July Federal Reserve meeting?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed",
    "fed-rates",
    "monetary-policy",
    "fomc-dissent",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the number of dissents at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting. Polymarket structures the event as five mutually exclusive binary outcomes: zero, one, two, three, or four-plus dissenters. Together they span the full dissent count distribution and should sum to roughly 100%. Resolution relies on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors' official FOMC statement, processed through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-215HZK3D16",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.24,
    "implied_probability": 0.24
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-215HZK3D16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SDTDSWSB6",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x50ba17676588be35303b9d046d3de9f50a2d054b68090bf6e764197c4ba17967",
      "question": "Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?",
      "description": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.f",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' official FOMC statement from July 29, 2026, documents the number of dissenting votes on the Fed Funds Rate decision.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
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            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2509.862033,
      "volume_total_usd": 34650.45586099998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-0F14BA0197",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "federal reserve dissent count",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "question": "Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?",
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      "underlying_reference": "1: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' official FOMC statement from July 29, 2026, documents the number of dissenting votes on the Fed Funds Rate decision.",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 38.166665,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
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      "question_id": "CMX-E64CDC90BD",
      "also_on": null,
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xecd69819be0d09646b4007ee1981a9e2af84897240ea75267d52f62a58e1c312",
      "question": "Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?",
      "description": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.f",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2: Federal Reserve Board of Governors' official FOMC statement from July 29, 2026, documents the number of dissenting votes on the Fed Funds Rate decision.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.237,
      "implied_probability": 0.237,
      "volume_24h_usd": 347.458599,
      "volume_total_usd": 3809.2263209999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
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      "question_id": "CMX-9AC1853ABD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?",
      "description": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.f",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "question": "Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?",
      "description": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.f",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T15:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
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      "tags": [
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