{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
  "slug": "how-many-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026-20260623190717369",
  "question": "Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at least once in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed",
    "fomc",
    "interest-rates",
    "us-monetary-policy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the total number of 25 basis-point Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions. Six mutually exclusive Polymarket binary contracts span zero through five-or-more hikes, collectively pricing the full hike-count distribution. Together they imply a market-consensus probability curve over cumulative tightening of 0 to 125-plus basis points by December 31, 2026. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Federal Reserve Board of Governors policy decisions as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1B5363ZBQ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1B5363ZBQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x37f3cb5add233997c557c3efb2b129333d6f21f77f38852acd9658e047a8b857",
      "question": "Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if m",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0 (0 bps): The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' total number of 25 basis-point rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions through December 31, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1977.121907,
      "volume_total_usd": 24109.310604999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-833A47D979",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-K3JB4CCMJ7",
          "price": 0.049
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        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-253XFB1NK9",
          "price": 0.014
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        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-6YVBZNCJ97",
          "price": 0.001
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      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1JRHCC5R50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9db8905bffc0df478b336591504245614c631976329df65efd7609f32167a693",
      "question": "Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if m",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1 (25 bps): The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' total number of 25 basis-point rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions through December 31, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 554.731827,
      "volume_total_usd": 9820.011762999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-D7DF9AC90B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N3BRXKMD80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xff8ae213f43c3c61299bafb0b153b45d6e112f515601b71b59816de6908321f4",
      "question": "Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if m",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2 (50 bps): The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' total number of 25 basis-point rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions through December 31, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1571.383061,
      "volume_total_usd": 9640.422153999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-319ECF3E1F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N0VD8N1QK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3a2bbd8defe7f688106ed3d18ce823181d86204f50504c5cfe77342ab826b37f",
      "question": "Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if m",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3 (75 bps): The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' total number of 25 basis-point rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions through December 31, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1949.067838,
      "volume_total_usd": 4648.619616000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACAF5FA681",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPGQLZ0092",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2efed6742706e86ea486c6065265b94f999fcbe0b15aeeb714be385ac340b034",
      "question": "Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if m",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4 (100 bps): The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' total number of 25 basis-point rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions through December 31, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.018,
      "implied_probability": 0.018,
      "volume_24h_usd": 497.94413099999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 3043.1567849999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-6CCE9B59AF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M8NJNCGP87",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5135a28f2ef22ac398144cc93db21e0156b3abf6c65fbb16e459065c3c7cb43f",
      "question": "Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if m",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "5+ (125+ bps): The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' total number of 25 basis-point rate hikes in 2026, including emergency actions through December 31, 2026, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "federalreserve.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 72.77000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 2591.9985,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-84BF4496C6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "monetary-policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-14GPBMBQY0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}