{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJGPJJRLC9",
  "slug": "how-many-spacex-launches-in-june-2026",
  "question": "Will SpaceX conduct at least X launches in June 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "spacex",
    "launch-cadence",
    "tech",
    "space-industry",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track SpaceX's total launch count during June 2026. Five Polymarket binary contracts span discrete outcome tiers: fewer than 11, exactly 11, exactly 12, exactly 13, and 14 or more launches. Together they form a complete probability distribution over launch volume for the month. Resolution follows SpaceX's official launches webpage via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle as of June 30, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HW80TF8G55",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YTCS90KL25",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJGPJJRLC9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcfd54f1a65a2589ab1174af05e96c0816bf27c3d32d551b4763cc51bcc0dafe1",
      "question": "Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<11: SpaceX's launch count during June 2026 resolves according to the company's official launches webpage as of June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "spacex.com",
            "url": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1524.1368609999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 11,
      "question_id": "CMX-C13C440D4D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "june-2026",
        "launches",
        "spacex",
        "spacex launches"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJGPJJRLC9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xad141af67db62bc225082b887be2faf22782afa8d0dae946936a7186643bc0b5",
      "question": "Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "SpaceX's launch count during June 2026 resolves according to the company's official launches webpage as of June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
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            "url": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
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        "source_of_record": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 70,
      "volume_total_usd": 748.2399999999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 11,
      "question_id": "CMX-3A1882EB75",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "launches",
        "spacex",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb48888620dedc0e2f15c7ab0b83712599e9e10e3b236698de0394ab8ac050ec",
      "question": "Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in June 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "12: SpaceX's launch count during June 2026 resolves according to the company's official launches webpage as of June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19,
      "volume_total_usd": 1010.2399999999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 12,
      "question_id": "CMX-F856DE73F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "june-2026",
        "launches",
        "spacex",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TR4C3K2S87",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJGPJJRLC9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29b3fe40c6be708ba307e621698f5eea25e8e7fa4e45320c0f675405b3eabac0",
      "question": "Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "13: SpaceX's launch count during June 2026 resolves according to the company's official launches webpage as of June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "spacex.com",
            "url": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "https://www.spacex.com/launches",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 1693.8225450000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 13,
      "question_id": "CMX-353CBA9D22",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "june-2026",
        "launches",
        "spacex",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HW80TF8G55",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3946cb89eb87ca2d2e472a80855433c4401f4243f2e617d01fe565fcfb1d0e10",
      "question": "Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "14+: SpaceX's launch count during June 2026 resolves according to the company's official launches webpage as of June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 315.23,
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      "tags": [
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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}