{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
  "slug": "how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q2-2026",
  "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "tesla",
    "vehicle-deliveries",
    "q2-2026",
    "business",
    "automotive"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Tesla's total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, sourced from Tesla's official investor relations press release. Polymarket structures the event as nine contiguous binary tiers, each covering a 25,000-unit delivery band. Taken together, the tier prices form an implied probability distribution over the full delivery range. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the official Tesla IR press release at ir.tesla.com/press.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B75XBFRLV0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FXT0V42570",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a2b0abaf8be4d359db7845c8b3c0358460f62bcecbf97f1093e97cf81ec9b4a",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 127.47,
      "volume_total_usd": 6313.467016000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 300000,
      "question_id": "CMX-969DEF53D3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VW7XJFTMZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x03775189234c3abdb3c6e746c29f70d74ab924fba407f79173a88252a2c24b60",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 127.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 4062.9558530000013,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C29C0A084B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7DLYWKKZ18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x87f093341ab2438f8e1b7ea9e4a18e0aae873ebfb838cc55039e500b13109ad9",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 127.47,
      "volume_total_usd": 4254.125693000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C29C0A084B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B75XBFRLV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x178788be19cc27c495bb709cfbf582649e51b6bc11b3fa42ac221503f6b7e94b",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 177.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 11456.864348000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DF6A4EF77E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5YNNQ1QDV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x13150beedcc4b60c60580eec5f87bbb3092995cd893aadb709425e097af82df4",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 199.694337,
      "volume_total_usd": 7480.081174999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EBACE5F3D3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LRXS2SWYG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb98ca5f27a851fd490082e9d3f3058e9a8cf0266ec207854395693015acbd293",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 941.730378,
      "volume_total_usd": 10493.982367999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B50B972C11",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64F9V3SJX9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3be2b05f91f41cea6c5bd803b4c456ca5339a38a8c2bb19f71d38ef44636b0da",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 186.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 5997.843235000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C29C0A084B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YFKS99MM98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2925e32df6f1cc297aa7f060aea103815ae0405926cd12ba9f244bfdface818c",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 410.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 5854.083833000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C047E04AC5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deliveries",
        "q2 2026",
        "tesla",
        "tesla deliveries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YR8QNFVVM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKB6WQH0P3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4926438a8bcd51e07989a94a7efafff86a0c66101a5f0f51dc0a252425c41b4b",
      "question": "Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tesla's official press release announcing total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026, published at https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "ir.tesla.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ir.tesla.com/press",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
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