{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
  "slug": "how-much-will-coinbase-token-sales-raise-in-2026",
  "question": "Coinbase token sales proceeds, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      200000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 36
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 41
      },
      {
        "threshold": 600000000,
        "prob": 30
      },
      {
        "threshold": 800000000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 8
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "fundraising",
    "coinbase",
    "token-sales",
    "2027-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total capital raised through Coinbase token sales in 2026, resolving January 1, 2027. All five are Polymarket binary ladders at $200M, $400M, $600M, $800M, and $1B thresholds. Together they imply a cumulative probability distribution over the fundraising range. Resolution relies on Coinbase's official token sale pages, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G7N033V700",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.35,
    "implied_probability": 0.35,
    "as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G7N033V700",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfc76ba149eb344e53b06707b5a4b89ab9df6de1263a6f5ecfa7f1a6722526e89",
      "question": "Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": ">$200M: Coinbase's official token sale pages and communications determine total fundraising amount raised through the listed platform in 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle on January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information published by Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "respective Coinbase token sale pages",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official communications from projects raising on Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Coinbase",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.33,
      "volume_total_usd": 62579.327118,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-50912845D1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coinbase",
        "coinbase token sales",
        "fundraising",
        "tokens"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6KMYV0SN7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x50208733d2ccd03d19d6cd27f3a85de8a7fd67ae68fceb48178644ad62a6dbc2",
      "question": "Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": ">$400M: Coinbase's official token sale pages and communications determine total fundraising amount raised through the listed platform in 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle on January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information published by Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "respective Coinbase token sale pages",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official communications from projects raising on Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Coinbase",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.284,
      "implied_probability": 0.284,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-27T18:00:39.685Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 58501.850454999985,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7E9B07863F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coinbase",
        "coinbase token sales",
        "fundraising",
        "tokens"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T578JL93Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x74bb6fe3ed4c49c44a0ca24dc3673c2de5dc979ec8fce1403db25c0d7077d651",
      "question": "Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": ">$600M: Coinbase's official token sale pages and communications determine total fundraising amount raised through the listed platform in 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle on January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information published by Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "respective Coinbase token sale pages",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official communications from projects raising on Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Coinbase",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T07:00:45.671Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 63381.65138999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-35B696FF08",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coinbase",
        "coinbase token sales",
        "fundraising",
        "tokens"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QWNMBB3DC4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce620456053150d841e7b76aa9107377f9030747133df4cd0dd0cdbc642f92c0",
      "question": "Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": ">$800M: Coinbase's official token sale pages and communications determine total fundraising amount raised through the listed platform in 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle on January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information published by Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "respective Coinbase token sale pages",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official communications from projects raising on Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Coinbase",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T07:00:45.671Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 42896.365923,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-45A54D16A7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coinbase",
        "coinbase token sales",
        "fundraising",
        "tokens"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YRLGP17ST2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1eaa3169b6a2ff38e91b07e7306edcec6982b6ceb616d737f244423902f5774f",
      "question": "Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": ">$1B: Coinbase's official token sale pages and communications determine total fundraising amount raised through the listed platform in 2026, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle on January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount raised by Coinbase token sales in 2026 exceeds the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source will be official information published by Coinbase, the respective Coinbase token sale pages, or official communications from projects raising on Coinbase.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information published by Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "respective Coinbase token sale pages",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official communications from projects raising on Coinbase",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Coinbase",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-27T18:00:39.685Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 103588.98774299998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-094B866936",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coinbase",
        "coinbase token sales",
        "fundraising",
        "tokens"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8CYKBXNQ27",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}