{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MK9FPX5NS6",
  "slug": "human-moon-landing-in-2026",
  "question": "Will there be a human moon landing by 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "human-spaceflight",
    "moon-landing",
    "2026",
    "space-exploration",
    "tech"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether a human-crewed spacecraft lands on the moon before December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary prices the yes/no outcome. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using credible media reporting as the evidentiary standard. No corroborating Kalshi market exists for cross-platform comparison.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J5TN5NPY34",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.027,
    "implied_probability": 0.027
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J5TN5NPY34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MK9FPX5NS6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x57e94552876e125c4a030239d693576dac1792e956982b653ce8c9b4fbc8f23c",
      "question": "Human moon landing in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of technical complications.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Credible media reporting of a human-crewed spacecraft landing on the moon by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of technical complications.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 49,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.027,
      "implied_probability": 0.027,
      "volume_24h_usd": 90.207796,
      "volume_total_usd": 1960492.5951630243,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACCECC7AFF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "human moon landing",
        "lunar",
        "moon",
        "nasa",
        "space"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MK9FPX5NS6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}