{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
  "slug": "hyperbeat-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Hyperbeat FDV M one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      10000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 10000000,
        "prob": 24
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25000000,
        "prob": 20
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "hyperbeat",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "token-launch",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Hyperbeat's Fully Diluted Valuation one day after the token's launch, resolving by January 2027. Seven strike thresholds span $10M to $400M, forming an implied probability distribution across FDV levels. Each binary resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available venue. The ladder structure lets traders extract a market-implied FDV curve rather than a single directional bet.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZWGJKKBQL1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZWGJKKBQL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xda5bef3d43a465f02ee5bc310626f1118f87d5432666baeeb0202c1839d0264c",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$10M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15244.766822000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-0F12946276",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "hyperbeat",
        "hyperbeat fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GS2K6T6JN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe570826073058ad6a9d3665edf4c8cbd789ab40311f55ff01b0bf29e5d7d5f13",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$25M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17341.530523,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FAFF3DCC45",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "hyperbeat",
        "hyperbeat fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RK6C51TJP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf15ebf3fdafd97bc3f2da31a9f6920ec2c2d3a1833289fb4407e63c203f36346",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 70073.74623800002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-77491FA48F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "hyperbeat",
        "hyperbeat fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8C099MY8P4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x54716c4acb414ff55a6e9c8e8231cf787ca2143c5fc4731d72851866d6abc302",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 38047.15966500001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3575C43B0F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "hyperbeat",
        "hyperbeat fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3RQRPW4B25",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a854b44aa73083bcd2c84823dd113a845c4072c6f19f3de32a43e866783cd3f",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21813.581754999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-64B31BFEBF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "hyperbeat",
        "hyperbeat fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YZ7NVB16M8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd50d0276f9b6c57d7a1b23be8be23a8dcdffed0aebae867de372b26593a9a238",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.024,
      "implied_probability": 0.024,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 127266.54268999981,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8EF41396EB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "hyperbeat",
        "hyperbeat fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PC8B4F3F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HM2TZM59T9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a6e601265f63d99ca0486ee6c4fa07294f6ae34974ceda23453fde5cf7fb334",
      "question": "Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/hyperbeat",
        "sources": [
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