{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
  "slug": "in-which-month-will-spacex-ipo",
  "question": "In which month will SpaceX conduct an initial public offering?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "spacex",
    "ipo",
    "2026",
    "business-events"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its initial public offering, with coverage spanning February through December 2026. Eleven monthly binary contracts isolate each calendar month; a twelfth contract prices the probability that no IPO occurs before year-end. All twelve resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution of the monthly leg for March 2026 occurred at the resolve_at timestamp of March 1, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JLHW8JSNR7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBTDZL1072",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xff83d3ad56a0a5242523fa0263c10e6591c71874568050941d7a9bee90ee29f7",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in February 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "February: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-01T12:54:33Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "the primary exchange",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2071.058,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0BD7B65AA9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7DK7HZSV42",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8e0642bdd3ca43d22bd5c5e1516547e39d08a6d729ea60262f558cb143cf56a4",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:53:31Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "the primary exchange",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 51009.04806399998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D360DD1F22",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q95RVYV3K0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x03b6f5bafa7c7f14274438562650314f06947bd6d9ef94b2d2b014346bdc4ce8",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "April: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-01T08:26:14Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "the primary exchange",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 37594.19978699999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EF62089E2E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZPMC14T57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f544e70895a850c547cf3f416bc6dd49c8d325a3639174741a37a6400301f00",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T13:17:05Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "the primary exchange",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 101065.62755300003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-499E093863",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JLHW8JSNR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd80f3e7fc5ea2f2d5a162aaa589b9ba067be58c9a4b411ff08a22b82ffcd5dfd",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 41370.781011,
      "volume_total_usd": 222946.72884800012,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-60368B402C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ipo",
        "spacex"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0KTJJM3H0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb198d78167e70ab2dcc9d675e454d1152156765db1617380f71417d8466a0c27",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 294.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 29694.90316999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6C660951FB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N3TF6993L6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x62ba17e89836a5386924dd22b504c3755cc03e9e9e63f77060ed73f0d74da93c",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "the primary exchange",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 18834.330298999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3973111B2E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R2RB5960Z8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x80790ec7853b6618e72217d126b1e32f5d5b78f09c71aabed9eeac8de147164d",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the primary exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the primary exchange",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 19267.62898500001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D92AD0B11",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-49CGV5TZM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5B0F2RXN89",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3d0a1dd98a0256533dcade554951b121c9c77c7d99bb4033431e3a5f68060a9f",
      "question": "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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