{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
  "slug": "ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Ink FDV one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      500000000,
      1000000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 72
      },
      {
        "threshold": 250000000,
        "prob": 64
      },
      {
        "threshold": 500000000,
        "prob": 59
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 29
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000000000,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000000000,
        "prob": 4
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "ink-protocol",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ink's fully diluted valuation one day after token launch, measured at 4:00 PM ET. Six Polymarket strike thresholds span $100M to $3B, forming a binary ladder across valuation outcomes. Each strike is independent, so implied probabilities across the ladder reveal the market's FDV distribution. All six resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the most liquid available price source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZZXZ944R97",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.14,
    "implied_probability": 0.14
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZZXZ944R97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a9f7345715079de0aec1d9ec2f119c6ba2861aa9054f5b0134ec79834a861fe",
      "question": "Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The listed company's token FDV, measured at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch via the most liquid price source, determines resolution; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "http://inkonchain.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inkonchain.com",
            "url": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 219624.33640399962,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-28DED7FC9A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "ink",
        "ink fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-408ZJPD821",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4211e9bc23a48128233d2fbf2be43e246a56d58161796c07749b117243a7ea69",
      "question": "Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The listed company's token FDV, measured at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch via the most liquid price source, determines resolution; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "http://inkonchain.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inkonchain.com",
            "url": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 312676.27675899933,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F3A0FFE839",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "ink",
        "ink fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y3L5LBKZR3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa45535cb562715b92811f9563704ae852954a708511caf9435fd77acf141b57",
      "question": "Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2B: The listed company's token FDV, measured at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch via the most liquid price source, determines resolution; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "http://inkonchain.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inkonchain.com",
            "url": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21919.616433000007,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-634232CF50",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "ink",
        "ink fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NL9R870ZQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1d9eb6b75059a61f74c65384e23993cb35c3415479c778bf35c6a880f7469831",
      "question": "Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3B: The listed company's token FDV, measured at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch via the most liquid price source, determines resolution; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "http://inkonchain.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inkonchain.com",
            "url": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.068,
      "implied_probability": 0.068,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14595.910224999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D44689D69E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "ink",
        "ink fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5QTLT2C008",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xad257f63905baaec310fc3fe86385ede38c80415354fafbb5b3f035a8239a6f0",
      "question": "Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$250M: The listed company's token FDV, measured at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch via the most liquid price source, determines resolution; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "http://inkonchain.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inkonchain.com",
            "url": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 112191.95708699999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 250000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-32AA117EF2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "ink",
        "ink fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9NPTJQ4759",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x78a5be9b2ca414ffea0ac2a5fb8acd8f17a1361365fa423741cbc412db4313b8",
      "question": "Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed company's token FDV, measured at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch via the most liquid price source, determines resolution; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "http://inkonchain.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inkonchain.com",
            "url": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "http://inkonchain.com/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.39,
      "implied_probability": 0.39,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 60968.677635000015,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B804F0252C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "ink",
        "ink fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GVQ2N6BFV9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}