{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q3L341WH8",
  "slug": "iowa-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Iowa Governor Election Winner",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "iowa",
    "governor",
    "us-states",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. Polymarket structures the event across party-level and candidate-specific binary contracts, all resolving on an AP, Fox News, or NBC call. The party-level markets price outcome directly; the candidate slots price individual nominee probability before the field is set. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FDL4Q2TBC7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.36
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q3L341WH8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd73a3ca0e0544f2b5bd4f32fca4a7d4fb691a260b431f5afa58f52a41c13d896",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC will call the named candidate's party affiliation as winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "official certification",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Republican: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC will call the named candidate's party affiliation as winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "question": "Will Option A win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QRCY1JJ659",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q3L341WH8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb0bd6c4e9fbee30958f341844a07d8c60afa6a117abd1e0b51df12809dfac769",
      "question": "Will Option B win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market ",
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      "underlying_reference": "Option B: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC will call the named candidate's party affiliation as winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x88360273918d1cb408b9a386396370d5478a6f6572fc10fbc98d037875be8dc0",
      "question": "Will Option C win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FFX30X1DG2",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa5ddc1ed2f40f5f0343193aa74aca22d428b51628bd214c47cc124830f34ccfc",
      "question": "Will Option D win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Option D: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC will call the named candidate's party affiliation as winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KGM535NDJ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5Q3L341WH8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe9e1b89339690223c02a378fe8a24a93d3a39bc03c508bf983a4c40aebad7e93",
      "question": "Will Option E win the Iowa governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Option E: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC will call the named candidate's party affiliation as winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market ",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "resolution": {
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