{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5RMSZF4DW7",
  "slug": "is-jeffrey-epstein-alive-498",
  "question": "Will Jeffrey Epstein be confirmed to be alive before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "conspiracy-theories",
    "death-verification",
    "high-profile-figures",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market prices a binary outcome: whether credible public sources confirm Jeffrey Epstein alive before January 2027. Resolution requires incontrovertible proof, setting an exceptionally high evidentiary bar. The single Polymarket contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. No corroborating official record or government confirmation currently exists.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MCZB59LGV2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.021,
    "implied_probability": 0.021
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MCZB59LGV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5RMSZF4DW7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1bb95f67ff6d971d43a112464e65b2a5e94e6ae61c72a111ad53340ba7d8cab3",
      "question": "Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A consensus of credible public sources regarding incontrovertible proof of Jeffrey Epstein being alive before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 13,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 673.5424580000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 2523200.8687961344,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alive",
        "epstein",
        "jeffrey epstein",
        "person"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5RMSZF4DW7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}