{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
  "slug": "ism-services-pmi-july-2026-20260710153544980",
  "question": "Will the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 be released by August 5, 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "ism-services-pmi",
    "us-economic-indicators",
    "manufacturing-services",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the Institute for Supply Management Services PMI reading for July 2026. Polymarket structures the event as ten mutually exclusive binary contracts spanning discrete index ranges from below 50.0 to 58.0 and above. Together the contracts form an implied probability distribution over the full print range. All ten markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the ISM's official Report On Business, due by August 5, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8PNC90FY34",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.18,
    "implied_probability": 0.18
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0G882QPJC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc2376993ed6fcb8e8c8b31d2e12e78b09a99b365312a7792eb25f38a914e949b",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<50.0: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 173.902,
      "volume_total_usd": 2588.3248770000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-E4E65E5402",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WB20G6S889",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xca0e035b3aa3bfd6b1d7f964ee0df5b79b28b9949acfe8410897f43e3f6bd802",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50.0–50.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 99.896,
      "volume_total_usd": 531.816,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-F77757AB06",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BJ7MM1R7G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x011cd6bc1ccb233451a1d2e99dea011b14f565c688c0420c641af96c5342b0c7",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "51.0–51.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.045,
      "implied_probability": 0.045,
      "volume_24h_usd": 139.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 628.860815,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 51,
      "question_id": "CMX-8EA4CE7B73",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BFSM246BB8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x06cc060b83d5e53a8cf5fff50fd2a199c10c673c39fe570be7cc944e7093bb56",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "52.0–52.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.062,
      "implied_probability": 0.062,
      "volume_24h_usd": 139.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 1507.082597,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 52,
      "question_id": "CMX-08C5CA65A5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8PNC90FY34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc0c1b09ab728c0ab8cd3a8c22c2a2693efd601f348d4899b508b56f674c17c06",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "53.0–53.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1396.937141,
      "volume_total_usd": 11248.847004000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 53,
      "question_id": "CMX-7600487CD4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XXQGBY7P87",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9f7b3bea9fbcc5eb3df8f23e5ab7e4ebe85e9aafd2245f511539e226fe922442",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "54.0–54.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.39,
      "implied_probability": 0.39,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1689.9647439999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 10807.873938000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 54,
      "question_id": "CMX-D4B7AF2FB9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZN161B526",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x468fa9dd61a7f03190ca04f3ae5afb9ea2867cbc23bac8f6fbdbfc2f531ff650",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "55.0–55.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.353,
      "implied_probability": 0.353,
      "volume_24h_usd": 581.974611,
      "volume_total_usd": 2045.597793,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": "CMX-83EC01F185",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J1FRYSC0Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7a4b0aaf560d66eb27201ddb1dd9841a6f9f092d1859ce86be79101924734f3",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56.0–56.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 193.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 1033.312949,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 56,
      "question_id": "CMX-44EE16AC3A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L3VK24TV01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc094dfe901498019a3896c41eccb96e59a262f110022ae3fe127af33826eb80b",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "57.0–57.9: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 655.708,
      "volume_total_usd": 1149.638,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 57,
      "question_id": "CMX-0DF901089C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQXMYGBFF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x09ac55baf59ed0fa82fc33676e8806aec9511fdcd6f5ab262c9095920549bf79",
      "question": "Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-report",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "58.0+: The Institute for Supply Management Services PMI Report On Business for July 2026, released by August 5, 2026, determines which bracket contains the monthly index reading.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term \"percent\" in its official release (e.g., \"The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent\"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.\n\nNote: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nIf ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ismworld.org",
            "url": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ISM Services PMI Report On Business",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Institute for Supply Management (ISM)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.023,
      "implied_probability": 0.023,
      "volume_24h_usd": 276.571462,
      "volume_total_usd": 1495.4363759999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58,
      "question_id": "CMX-874DCF3DEB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-indicator",
        "ism",
        "ism services pmi",
        "pmi",
        "services",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RYRC9QPYV3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}