{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HWTSC1HT47",
  "slug": "israeli-forces-enter-choukine-by",
  "question": "Israeli forces enter Choukine in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "israel-military",
    "2026",
    "middle-east-conflict",
    "territorial-control"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether Israeli ground forces physically enter Choukine, a municipality in Lebanon. The May 31 market offers an earlier binary trigger; the June 7 market extends the window by one week. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using corroborated photo and video evidence of military presence. The staggered deadlines let traders price the probability of entry across two distinct time horizons.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JQC8YKTY74",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQC8YKTY74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HWTSC1HT47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x153c55026360343f385039ef74e61e5ac8a637c05e71fdaaebe99a3b1b8c5e98",
      "question": "Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Photo and video evidence of Israeli military personnel physically present within Choukine municipality, Lebanon, corroborated by credible reporting from news organizations or verified open-source intelligence.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2744.194473,
      "volume_total_usd": 14858.727534000014,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "choukine",
        "gaza",
        "israel",
        "israeli forces entry",
        "military"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QZ3TRST67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HWTSC1HT47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef95117e70cc92402d3bab664c61617335a4d71fdd86de43b1b5c3d513741c4e",
      "question": "Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Photo and video evidence of Israeli military personnel physically present within Choukine municipality, Lebanon, corroborated by credible reporting from news organizations or verified open-source intelligence.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.\n\nUndercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIf the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1850.8000000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 10159.326748000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "choukine",
        "gaza",
        "israel",
        "israeli forces entry",
        "military"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQC8YKTY74",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-07T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QZ3TRST67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HWTSC1HT47",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}