{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
  "slug": "israeli-legislative-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Israeli legislative election result in a clear winner by the next scheduled election date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "israel",
    "legislative",
    "2026",
    "middle-east"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party wins the most Knesset seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single named party as a binary outcome question. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against certification by the Central Elections Committee of Israel. Final seat allocations must be certified by June 30, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-41R7VCB1Q5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.39,
    "implied_probability": 0.39
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf77fa3e63014f1f76ea4433dac66b3860493ed7f1a9fee3dfbef9104d7f1eee3",
      "question": "Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Likud: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gov.il",
            "url": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.56,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x4e9cff8a3aeac036225fedcc98af9b0d55284b3f430b599e7f61b059c1e177af",
      "question": "Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Together: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gov.il",
            "url": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3M4XGZT3S0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc3c4b06b71e5a9dec867169d4319a4bf7364d7b0a6c5d6cd048689a207aafc40",
      "question": "Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Shas: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gov.il",
            "url": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-41R7VCB1Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd05da9807740aa0f5bc9e9232daabe87a21e5012c19e283abf414f1c1651118b",
      "question": "Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Yashar: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gov.il",
            "url": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N0M2GKD8H7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4a48f706471324eb289b2a77a368f7cfc3cdbf899ea320395e9afaa9191570e9",
      "question": "Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democrats: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "gov.il",
            "url": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YKR7SLJXX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x49b2c8eac865bbac235153824b3490185ff0fdb7305cb053b2ab5b1466bf4f36",
      "question": "Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
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      "underlying_reference": "Otzma Yehudit: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party B: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party C: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party D: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party E: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party G: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party H: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party I: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party J: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party N: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party S: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party T: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party U: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
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      "question": "Will Party AA win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party AA: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
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      "question": "Will Party AB win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
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      "question": "Will Party AC win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party AC: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9ddf7e5edf2ce4a5ee305df5da9b38c5d135a2da2ce0415eb0cc79de2cbb0035",
      "question": "Will Party AD win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party AD: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5X6DDG86Z1",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86087bbce45accf7c27a02739a324555dfe2777696d75347f23282cc44737a7a",
      "question": "Will Party AE win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party AE: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Party AF win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that resu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party AF: The Central Elections Committee of Israel will certify final Knesset seat allocations by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; ties resolve to the listed entity with greater valid votes.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page",
        "sources": [
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