{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W69HG9C9G4",
  "slug": "israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31",
  "question": "Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved by the settlement date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "israel",
    "parliament-dissolution",
    "knesset",
    "government-formation",
    "2025"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Israel's Knesset will be dissolved by successive calendar deadlines through 2025. Each contract is a binary asking whether dissolution occurs by a specific date, creating an implied survival curve across eight strike dates. Later-dated contracts embed earlier ones, so pricing spreads reveal the market's probability mass around each dissolution window. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle for each individual contract.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TVSMRJSRT5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.002,
    "implied_probability": 0.002
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFCZ9TXMH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W69HG9C9G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x538528f260d596babea3f5f9515b386aca4f2a042391349371b5cd96e4a6bbe0",
      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2025-11-01T06:28:10Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of Israel",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 59,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 33193.269199,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6b81f8b1bfa3698a7277800322084f190680359f05a4df15bb801e8beeecdd20",
      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:47:31Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd03fe97122a627acec515c88f3d351ad28e78cda436e158563fe346c1408f66e",
      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "underlying_reference": "March 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9LR5780MD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W69HG9C9G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by February 28?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8",
      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
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      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xac1721c071b72e556df41a0c0d3c4d3c0baa599d352bbe92bc8450e06e596021",
      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2THDHX1T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JWS737TS0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-15T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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