{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DDKPKV1635",
  "slug": "james-comey-sentenced-to-prison-in-2026",
  "question": "Will James Comey be sentenced to prison by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "criminal-justice",
    "legal-proceedings",
    "2026",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether a U.S. federal or state court issues a prison sentence against James Comey by December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary contract prices the outcome; no competing platform structures an alternative rate or margin question. Resolution requires a formal sentencing judgment imposing prison time, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. No cross-platform structural contrast applies here given the single-market scope.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KQKQ401812",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.04,
    "implied_probability": 0.04
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQKQ401812",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DDKPKV1635",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc6e10a62115e94c4af40dd61360cb5e7e1f9511bb15ca478ea6b0269667520b",
      "question": "James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.\n\nCivil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A U.S. federal or state court's sentencing judgment imposing prison time on James Comey by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.\n\nCivil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”\n\nIf at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the relevant government and law enforcement",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 251.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 155318.5120459991,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "james comey",
        "legal",
        "person",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DDKPKV1635",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}