{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KKFGPNRHL8",
  "slug": "japan-declassifies-new-ufo-files-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Japan declassify new UFO files by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "japan-government",
    "ufo-disclosure",
    "2026",
    "politics",
    "transparency-declassification",
    "pop-culture"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Japan's national government publicly declassifies previously restricted UFO or unidentified aerial phenomenon files before end of 2026. A single Polymarket binary covers the outcome; no continuous or tiered structure exists on a second platform, so no cross-platform structural contrast applies. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Japanese government disclosure records. No parallel Kalshi market exists for rate-level or margin comparison.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L5N2B1RJ05",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L5N2B1RJ05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KKFGPNRHL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb42726ca8eda8a64489bb13d842476d691b73d07c8019bcc92ea08f72429002c",
      "question": "Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's time",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Japanese national government's public declassification of previously unavailable files on extraterrestrial life or unexplained aerial phenomena announced by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.\n\nAnnouncements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of Japan",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 48,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10672.130012,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "declassification",
        "government",
        "japan",
        "japan ufo file",
        "ufo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KKFGPNRHL8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}