{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J06744MCC8",
  "slug": "jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893",
  "question": "Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at a market capitalization of $1 trillion or more by the settlement date?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "finance",
    "stock-market",
    "market-cap",
    "jpm"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether JPMorgan's equity market capitalization closes at or above one trillion dollars by three successive 2026 deadlines: August 31, October 31, and December 31. The markets are structurally nested; a YES resolution on the August contract implies probable YES on the later strikes. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the closing market cap on the respective date. JPMorgan's market capitalization is calculated from publicly reported share price and shares outstanding.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9R03VX9L17",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.41,
    "implied_probability": 0.41
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PRYY6KH9Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J06744MCC8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xabb09c904fb02dd2cfe689c2f7599ab0ab6c66af1da7239bbad6799676acce0c",
      "question": "Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.\n\nThis market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.\n\nThis market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4814.75677,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-0ECC904279",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "jpm",
        "market-cap",
        "milestone"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZCHQ187543",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J06744MCC8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf27e1538ac5bbb4720e4e8aed76f8d7ccd1946703081d6371babda07b6d440c7",
      "question": "Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.\n\nThis market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.\n\nThis market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2764.7086680000007,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4946D6DB03",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "jpm",
        "market-cap",
        "milestone"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9R03VX9L17",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J06744MCC8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xebba9d1e701a17761df53a40b099592f34faf432beee6fcbb33b6d818c0aaa12",
      "question": "Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.\n\nThis market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe.\n\nThis market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.41,
      "implied_probability": 0.41,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5305.979307,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5BB2D90717",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "jpm",
        "market-cap",
        "milestone"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-J06744MCC8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}