{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
  "slug": "july-inflation-us-annual-20260714150613267",
  "question": "Will July inflation in the United States be measured as annual?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "inflation",
    "us-economy",
    "price-indices",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics 12-month CPI reading for July 2026, released in August 2026. Polymarket structures the event as discrete strike bins from 3.1% or below through 4.2% or above, each resolving as a binary outcome at a specific rate level. Taken together, the bins function as an implied probability distribution over the CPI print. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the BLS Consumer Price Index report as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YH2J1JH2D8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.29,
    "implied_probability": 0.29
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WX9QBTR7B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x761982f37537dac3d1acd2d9261a5e64d26354aa28cf2f80d96b036b25b59283",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≤3.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": 357.286529,
      "volume_total_usd": 4240.150589999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-BF5145D7A9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4D3ZMXWLN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcd543e43e6f02e5660e95782c7087cf6e5a6ddb09b66041287a87087695fb855",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.2%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 306.881653,
      "volume_total_usd": 4770.502170000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-6DBE296392",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YH2J1JH2D8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcdee0148ae16622ec87adf22e6a94b3a2daaa328b4de533b9e6dac94a1f732ca",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.3%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2581.742556,
      "volume_total_usd": 19977.202229999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-0EBD734AD2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N6LKWLRBM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x17a70e52370a612544ea17005d8ba073fd55cee9648fe2ec9c68fcdc67386bc5",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.4%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.41,
      "implied_probability": 0.41,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3344.2160169999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 15918.822527999992,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-6F3DCC783E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85J3PTQT83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb3ea4352f8ef6888860892c7834ffcfaea5d55c07b44ebaee931a000b77f09c1",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.5%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1238.8266580000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 11524.406061000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E5EED434E6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M211X45TP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc64aa16f8b200bf6213b9bdd33f6072efdbcf1437e07658dd8c898174d910b90",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.6%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 402.077415,
      "volume_total_usd": 3756.8387399999992,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-0986F622D8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R8BK940ZK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a4f223bd6ba428097a7e80748479dc9eb3a999bc6958b97aabbf885522a6944",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.7%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 625.5944999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3077.4052949999987,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-AA73726A77",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJWNQGV8F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2b16188d3a21686f1b442209bcbdcaa0297e917ac85ceed2074527d1b3012be8",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.8%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 145.8,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-CDFAC657C3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W1B6S3S9R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4e2794902c254d57d0cc96e63469894425362e7cec26f8d44e9b49ad6b4ff091",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.9%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 2097.8455260000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 3.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-76A0073932",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJMZ7TP372",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5aa7b0db5b93161b0781789fdaa6474b36a55330f7693bfbf64423382220c8ff",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.0%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 2188.7714689999993,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-83B1B3BE28",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S5D4Z9BK01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf005f5b7b58088ce26b3d55336debbedde4659015547915800482a46ea12e466",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 200,
      "volume_total_usd": 2154.3903940000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-B6CD8DDF5B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQ9CPS32T2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe056d0fc229d413d4fdbf6175c28f4f4502e39d38505a9a55682efc112cf5416",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≥4.2%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 96,
      "volume_total_usd": 2233.558079,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-397B27DF4C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TQPB2BXD33",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}