{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
  "slug": "june-inflation-us-annual-20260610151727862",
  "question": "Will the June inflation rate in the US be announced as the annual figure by July 15, 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "inflation",
    "us-cpi",
    "price-index",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI 12-month rate for June 2026, released in July 2026. Polymarket structures the event as discrete binary strikes spanning 3.6% or below through 4.7% or above; each contract resolves independently at a single rate level. The full strike ladder implies a market-implied probability distribution across the 3.7%-4.6% range. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the official BLS CPI release.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TD7YFVJ1X7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PR28944KL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x99231ff429ed86c5cb642c8db64892e3cb76037c35773b8deda90dc874abc0ed",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≤3.6%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1839.485,
      "volume_total_usd": 2960.6123210000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-723DA9F224",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TGHFPZLVL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21e38f4162a9f98ed888eb41bb29310a4c67e48f10f78925d23feecb27695054",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.1%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10325.745105,
      "volume_total_usd": 12750.631115999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E84744816",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S3M2Z8FV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a64843d427607b164ea18493a30066de60f10abbbdc559066be494528378886",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.8%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9784.381095,
      "volume_total_usd": 11927.055919999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-65B42B350A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CH3MD79QX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf94fd5a66efc3d8869f56a63ea3f8f60fbe820bf6eb37f44f2d3d842504553a8",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.0%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11585.442354,
      "volume_total_usd": 16912.916446,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-52DEE023E0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0F3ZW4806",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2f3fa280df3e00588972759138624868a033b2e7d7ae769760ae18bad56f7766",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.4%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2182.873,
      "volume_total_usd": 3454.401576,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-677E5DC526",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MCZVKGDPL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0078f7612618bd022d0f7ccac9c66534c9f51f74af20cb1995df3c4870487d92",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.3%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "also_on": null,
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        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
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      "question": "Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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          {
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
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        "us annual inflation"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "platform_market_id": "0x83f4398848dc525a7bd7de4aea1d64eeee89e2bd1437120b417ed4bbae1f592a",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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      "also_on": null,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "also_on": null,
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        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "bls.gov",
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          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": "CMX-96E551A0A5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "bls.gov",
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D074281D2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3befc9a977ef08d787466ba6c956800adead83b8eb6934c035ba28b7e2731524",
      "question": "Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?",
      "description": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≥4.7%: The Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for the 12-month period ending June 2026, released July 14, 2026, determines the annual inflation percentage.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2392.1005999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 3571.0605500000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-4BD307DD02",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us",
        "us annual inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PR28944KL6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:36:43Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-24",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TGHFPZLVL0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:34:41Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-24",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:34:37Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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    },
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      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:34:37Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-24",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:34:34Z",
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      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-24",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-24",
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:33:43Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KMNFJCZ017",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:33:41Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XJ2B2D7KS8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:33:41Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-24",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CH3MD79QX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:33:38Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S3M2Z8FV9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-14T14:33:37Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
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      "source": "platform_api",
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  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TWCLXGYYV7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}