{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YD97MDSYH6",
  "slug": "jung-chung-rae-out-as-dp-leader-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Jung Chung-rae be out as DP leader by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "south-korea",
    "leadership-transition",
    "democratic-party",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Jung Chung-rae exits the Democratic Party leadership role by two separate deadlines. The June 30 contract prices near-term departure risk; the December 31 contract prices full-year departure risk. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The December contract structurally embeds the June outcome, making it the wider-probability instrument.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DZ6S977W13",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZ6S977W13",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YD97MDSYH6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x007aa0430cbc24e2a8b39a59dfa5f2d321053d667bf01aa2801c9ba48ea80326",
      "question": "Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jung Chung-rae ceases to be the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Chung-rae’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the spe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jung Chung-rae ceases to be the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Chung-rae’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Jung Chung-rae and the Democratic Party of Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Jung Chung-rae and the Democratic Party of Korea",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 55,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 610.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 18428.45231,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic party",
        "jung chung rae",
        "political leadership",
        "south korea"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-023MLPHCK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YD97MDSYH6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3f2e12be10c245ec41d0b5a5a2ce27a6e1761b42ac2c898f4891c8740edd4856",
      "question": "Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jung Chung-rae ceases to be the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Chung-rae’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jung Chung-rae ceases to be the leader of the Democratic Party of Korea for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Chung-rae’s resignation/removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Jung Chung-rae and the Democratic Party of Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from Jung Chung-rae and the Democratic Party of Korea",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 55,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1723.2770520000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic party",
        "jung chung rae",
        "political leadership",
        "south korea"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZ6S977W13",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-07T06:00:59.667Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-023MLPHCK6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YD97MDSYH6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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