{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
  "slug": "kazakhstan-kurultai-election-2nd-place-20260713225045611",
  "question": "Will the second-place party in the Kazakhstan Kurultai election receive fewer than 15% of the vote?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "kazakhstan",
    "2026",
    "kurultai",
    "electoral-results"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party finishes second in seat count in Kazakhstan's August 23, 2026 Kurultai parliamentary elections. Each binary contract names a single party as the candidate for second place. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Kazakh Central Election Commission's official seat tallies. Named parties include Adilet, Auyl, Aq Jol, JSDP, Baytaq, Respublica, and QHP, plus placeholder designations.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VVRHCQP3V3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.5,
    "implied_probability": 0.5
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J1MRFSD2R3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf8108d9b9446ccc206c42b2eb4f13eaeb3bd1cc78ac6c15b962f765ecee90444",
      "question": "Will Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adilet: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 623.5346000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VVRHCQP3V3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x23c1cdd77671a855caa828eecbdc0b6986cf38083214c228c83557f484ce1cd1",
      "question": "Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Auyl: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TZGS9310T1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf23506716f9c9dc1caf1ce5b7660ac6a7d1f0e67a47298d41ed03eabc78f2efc",
      "question": "Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Respublica: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25,
      "volume_total_usd": 2558.7838770000008,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1BYZ0HZ0T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfc1fbea3976f83de9333b57187b2c9f1a4d160b2290d08a8f564bc814d86d0ee",
      "question": "Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aq Jol: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.066,
      "implied_probability": 0.066,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1806.151457,
      "volume_total_usd": 3223.934682,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8XFXCPQQR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x06f12262ef60d5db1fd166d818a113bf751cab5504058c2b21ac36d35e721fd8",
      "question": "Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "QHP: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.049,
      "implied_probability": 0.049,
      "volume_24h_usd": 378.732329,
      "volume_total_usd": 490.30842899999993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZWWFF8P6Q7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1cdabad6b5cfd4b02f51c73ff28b34657c2d038db00f6926272bf3ff30f5a6fe",
      "question": "Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "JSDP: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.043,
      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "volume_24h_usd": 243.704246,
      "volume_total_usd": 1411.8499979999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GPK18R42Q2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LMLGVHK197",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x279406fbe6b4ee870bd2f60c548d0571f18fa13b876a84206ac7ecf8b3e28984",
      "question": "Will Baytaq win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Baytaq: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Party A win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party B win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party D win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party E win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party F win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party G win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party H win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party I win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party L win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party M win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party N win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party O win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party O: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party P win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party P: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party R win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party S win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party T win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
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      "underlying_reference": "Party T: The Kazakh Central Election Commission's official results for the August 23, 2026 Kurultai elections will determine which listed party wins the second-most seats, ranked by seat count then valid votes received.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party U win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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      "question": "Will Party V win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
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        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
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