{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
  "slug": "kazakhstan-kurultai-election-party-winner-20260713224438118",
  "question": "Will the Nur Otan party win the most seats in the Kazakhstan Kurultai election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "kazakhstan",
    "2026",
    "party-performance",
    "legislative-seats"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party wins the most seats in Kazakhstan's 2026 Kurultai parliamentary elections, closing August 23, 2026. Named parties include Adilet, Auyl, Respublica, Aq Jol, QHP, JSDP, and Baytaq, plus placeholder tiers for unannounced entrants. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Official Kazakh Central Election Commission seat tallies serve as the authoritative source for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-011R91Q4Y0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.994,
    "implied_probability": 0.994
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-011R91Q4Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x997738b4b027a0ab76ac582d859ef75538ee38b16d7aa814e9ae5a90aab4de71",
      "question": "Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adilet: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.994,
      "implied_probability": 0.994,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 3303.4324649999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z4TT4CBBY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x489c23c8a476d79ce7c3fc1d57a5f4fc4159670fa2377b4e52eac179b8033774",
      "question": "Will Auyl win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Auyl: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 664.0694,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P9PBLM1SJ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4ab78aa59080493746d501d6744ff891fe2488ac1630fe8675abcfe129a4a2d3",
      "question": "Will Respublica win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Respublica: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 651.1591999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SG1NW6Z3R8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd83138fa30ddde4a78736726ce6d34f9ee4ab339e618030f4e855afd6881d0df",
      "question": "Will Aq Jol win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aq Jol: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 1995.5399999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RS0FRPNB59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4a77797f3336fc5bbf4def902d477fc57b4400a883d2acc38b7f31ee98c55ac6",
      "question": "Will QHP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "QHP: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 708.4448,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VDTQN1F9S2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc947dfab6459f75a3aad5215e8c81104b81d22490341eb4793c050097944c07d",
      "question": "Will JSDP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "JSDP: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 1858.3892170000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SX3DNRK502",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8db09bd4a58ccf847a89ee64caaf22ef09fa41a66f866f7539a0cbdac49eac9d",
      "question": "Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Baytaq: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 835.1622990000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6LSX7NRV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x648f0fca606be583eb01140b57aa5e0283e1a4226d8c13259495d7efa137b912",
      "question": "Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party A: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9WNK8YVPH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xee4a2f0bf36ce20557e78fd1f1c12e4fad46ff8cd72a1b26f07f772e31c38ac7",
      "question": "Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party B: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LJZQB29JG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15b7e85d6d8a8599db1fe463f657ed8679e6775b4008c347c557e1c1c1784422",
      "question": "Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party C: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JJD7ZYWWG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xab99d5415d44fcee45b99cb63fffe82f2cf0c77d76f00984be7890f72959cae3",
      "question": "Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party D: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0JXT4T1H93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x672efcf63523149e2db07f3dcc5bdfd2f9bed4a8d78c72ce41f0489a2330592c",
      "question": "Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party E: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GN4B7C98G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a25eae0857d69effdf75e28e89be78189cd626b0fbe2d7d7b7d7fe63a48a943",
      "question": "Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party F: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLJ3MVTV29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x04a37dcf6b2472cfd20d9cb838a9f8409ff94008ad27e6a3800b7f58bc08e59e",
      "question": "Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party G: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FH2K4K3F37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18aa1b750327fefdef41edfc63e4fac44f41c3e0b94021e37da5c48c1a56a7f1",
      "question": "Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party H: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BD1LTVVPB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c2420fc17d5dd5c0d612a87212c116f287fd5b464876a1badfa63398ef4cfd8",
      "question": "Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party I: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VYQV38WM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x00984f0648c95568ec797e0a5cd5fb4e6746f1d7869ceba6b7c9fda3a3e5a13f",
      "question": "Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party J: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYTV1VVS59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x91deaf4856658094ba7740ab5facfca328fcf29fb9c3c1e8ace1674dc24c702b",
      "question": "Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party K: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHNLMVTJ39",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x863a48cabf3ba02e5c1fee2fee977e7eaf47a93871c2c7000dd78643fb7ccea4",
      "question": "Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party L: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBP447G3R8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5f50ee8c7400db49b00708c3049e8aedc5b205355a22ad41ff52c71f08b0fcc7",
      "question": "Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party M: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RHSXQQ1106",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3a0a7e7198ebc136360337ef8f3f482f8d300a2dcaaff9c869bc67c2db9b3cb0",
      "question": "Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party N: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WFKH1WSP83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeb75c36ac9bdc57f545912d90665f34cb531609594dd617267ea21790ef8ed83",
      "question": "Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party O: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B07Q6KR9R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6c7d35a19ef206fabce390560a005f055dd2f91c8d1a17d609c7cc5ceec97e7e",
      "question": "Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party P: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F7KXG6PQH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0d9d5e1bae7e2d25bf190afd5cd7765fd699fc94ef98e230747cfb234a5f55a7",
      "question": "Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party Q: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HV22YPB072",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd459a2bab252ebed7895132d3b3ca5f8978aaf8525eca6c19d23c83535a529dd",
      "question": "Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party R: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T04WTZN5P7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x268e09a19d6e1f32b0ecf5790d0e57efe96fcf4c148e8689a875ffad311dd3a6",
      "question": "Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party S: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6CC1SCJ20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x69741cdbc2a4f815ac2b2f86a84e55150d176aaf1e2577ec350f2bdeae51b2c1",
      "question": "Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party T: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZFB5W1BM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x70e8a3fa0ebdc1323eaa3d5d3d59e406775733b7435af8ba845bec11af9c761c",
      "question": "Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party U: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VM56SYD9K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaebd54e8a0e93525fb0ef3e85e4bebb94e3638e7991468a6d2e68d33d312880c",
      "question": "Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party V: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWBZR6VPS5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf3bad68e5b43a480ac1e993d5c6b929eaba751001460641e443999e6be8f6210",
      "question": "Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party W: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HRBDBW0MQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x34afbfb2f9748d6bf2d4dbb2dfd03e8be98272b3a8c0d54fe75ec02a7329dc91",
      "question": "Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party X: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0QS3765F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5383212708674b6ae182f9c8048120e364df1b5da316f72f3ce0ee9572f47a33",
      "question": "Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party Y: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKW0H5FS64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d9b9425f22b355d04fb83f23d94376e5f377b190ae43a55d72a344572f0d796",
      "question": "Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party Z: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6FGWHBJBR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x17c13afc7a84354e1a08f23c16ad2630729cae47e2d77613951843ec923283f7",
      "question": "Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will r",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kazakh government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kazakh government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 36,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kazakhstan kurultai election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6LSX7NRV0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9WNK8YVPH2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LJZQB29JG7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JJD7ZYWWG8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0JXT4T1H93",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GN4B7C98G7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SLJ3MVTV29",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FH2K4K3F37",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BD1LTVVPB9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VYQV38WM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYTV1VVS59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHNLMVTJ39",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBP447G3R8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RHSXQQ1106",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WFKH1WSP83",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B07Q6KR9R7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F7KXG6PQH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HV22YPB072",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T04WTZN5P7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6CC1SCJ20",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZFB5W1BM4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VM56SYD9K7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWBZR6VPS5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HRBDBW0MQ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0QS3765F1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKW0H5FS64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6FGWHBJBR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X8XRN2CFC4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}