{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
  "slug": "khamenei-of-tweets-july-17-july-24-2026",
  "question": "Will Khamenei post on social media between July 17 and July 24, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "iran-leadership",
    "social-media-activity",
    "khamenei",
    "weekly-resolution",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account post count from July 17 to July 24, 2026. Thirteen Polymarket contracts span discrete five-post tiers from 0-4 through 60-plus. Together they form a continuous probability distribution over weekly posting volume. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the raw X post count as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S6JK3WD623",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.33,
    "implied_probability": 0.33
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S6JK3WD623",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5978aa9cd3a58b4880946d6bb90c9e00f2515d3f0df2bb3cda5f8f5c7daa1faa",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<5: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-18T18:58:42Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4470.121174000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YLS21Y9HG1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfeba91d012741a84a4ccc72f8d07e29961a0fcdafb65c1eafa30d4b00befb07",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "5-9: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.82,
      "implied_probability": 0.82,
      "volume_24h_usd": 812.40074,
      "volume_total_usd": 3147.1553240000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Z8SWLSYR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc3faa2ae10dfd950d8487621a9d45d014db63b48264465e356ad3492b015c03f",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "10-14: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "volume_24h_usd": 597.993801,
      "volume_total_usd": 2741.768903999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7JJ58F7C1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2f9d6b5434226403468d3ebd886961302fd5d142d9ec695f68e7b69dd0d2dbd3",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "15-19: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.049,
      "implied_probability": 0.049,
      "volume_24h_usd": 192.5969,
      "volume_total_usd": 1212.853808,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4BCGNL4DY2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf07c6f8e8d8f8070777d1792539cab9ea8d3649c820724bc92114bbb57a50f90",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-24: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 183.11339999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 1065.9024459999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9HHYHH3ZH6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe0468be6f0c720353fd09770b2346989bc95312c09d9a9c18bdae0b74fc3fc04",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "25-29: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 229.10366600000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 941.8729659999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70GP070HZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88b3a1772506cdcb7888ed6cfb5cb7bd2a6f08aa56ca5dbb5a7260188cff823d",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "30-34: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 319.494,
      "volume_total_usd": 967.7166659999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-37LJLFCY94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x53931fe184397afe7d618b30c39767fef9b89372144bc5ba58093c1545565114",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "35-39: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 807.862,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1JY26HW275",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe5d5e2376b2002609c28e932c52bdc6569e96b9a2be095debc1a8a100c9c5e68",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-44: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 733.4765,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8XQZ63SSP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3a189dcdbdf8358a61e63767568659e40204a58433d8ed1d37d93e548f306e60",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "45-49: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 792.291333,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LRG7XDLL75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4d7a50a4dabeddf0e3ef9df9ce7c9148c67f3165b4ae8bfb3eed3b3f4c2a9d56",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50-54: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 55.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 541.2710010000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WH7J79D5Z8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x183b46c8315649fea4b6514fc728730191a436eb929ea305e77d4c63361b272c",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "55-59: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 557.3409999999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3RQXXQG831",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xff9af33dcdc1405f7f7ec929cadb370e5b46b631c3cc5b6e54b1f1905fd5cc79",
      "question": "Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polym",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60+: The named account's post count on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 12:00 PM ET 2026, as recorded by the Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/khamenei_ir",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 579.432,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "khamenei",
        "khamenei posts",
        "social media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S6JK3WD623",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-18T18:58:42Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KNJFJ542Y2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}