{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z8J2HL0WQ8",
  "slug": "kristi-noem-impeached-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Kristi Noem be impeached by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "congress",
    "impeachment",
    "kristi-noem",
    "2026",
    "executive-removal"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether the US House of Representatives votes to impeach Kristi Noem, Secretary of Homeland Security, in 2026. Only one market exists, structured as a binary outcome on Polymarket. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the House's official impeachment vote record. The market closes December 31, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T494VZ1D23",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.118,
    "implied_probability": 0.118
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T494VZ1D23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z8J2HL0WQ8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7dd540b69c704d0ae2defeae33dce2e67fea98beb34e999e677cde77d0fce9ff",
      "question": "Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNeither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The US House of Representatives' official vote record on articles of impeachment against Kristi Noem, Secretary of Homeland Security, through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNeither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the federal government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.118,
      "implied_probability": 0.118,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19171.123939999987,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "impeachment",
        "kristi noem",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Z8J2HL0WQ8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}