{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CQLT7ZKP9",
  "slug": "kroger-q1-identical-sales-without-fuel-growth",
  "question": "Will Kroger achieve identical sales growth excluding fuel in Q1?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "retail",
    "kroger",
    "earnings-growth",
    "comparable-sales"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Kroger's fiscal Q1 2026 identical sales growth, excluding fuel, as reported in official earnings materials. Four mutually exclusive Polymarket contracts cover discrete rate bands: below 1%, 1% to 1.5%, 1.5% to 2%, and above 2%. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Kroger's published earnings disclosure. Resolution is set for June 18, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NC8YJS49P2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NC8YJS49P2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CQLT7ZKP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6e5b7a286cd013b321901ea89201ac18dd6f9b109806c809c70a9de7cdfd58c4",
      "question": "Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the spe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<1%: Kroger's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2026, released by the specified deadline, will disclose the identical sales growth metric without fuel; if absent, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 20580.185868,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-CD4C52E363",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "kroger",
        "kroger q1 identical",
        "q1",
        "sales growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0SVRSTWV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CQLT7ZKP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88fcccaab82e5e68027b190febd67ee9b59f9715acca7c1b016af3b65d5355e6",
      "question": "Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the spe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1%–1.5%: Kroger's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2026, released by the specified deadline, will disclose the identical sales growth metric without fuel; if absent, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 183.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 18623.700889000007,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-82D49018A9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "kroger",
        "kroger q1 identical",
        "q1",
        "sales growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GYWTWH8WQ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CQLT7ZKP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb2500007458986cf1a29eddbc8bd440a754edd8b397788f93b9ef08be5eb02ba",
      "question": "Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the spe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.5%–2%: Kroger's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2026, released by the specified deadline, will disclose the identical sales growth metric without fuel; if absent, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "investor presentations",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 213.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 20177.952014,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-82D49018A9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "kroger",
        "kroger q1 identical",
        "q1",
        "sales growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3HCVDKQ2T3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8CQLT7ZKP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xec4afd2551c42330b3d2ab24dbb97a5a22359bd248553327c7e3672a81ea287a",
      "question": "Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the spe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2%+: Kroger's official earnings materials for fiscal Q1 2026, released by the specified deadline, will disclose the identical sales growth metric without fuel; if absent, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "press releases",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Kroger's official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 64.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 16918.721862000013,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-43CE6A4D9E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "kroger",
        "kroger q1 identical",
        "q1",
        "sales growth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NC8YJS49P2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0SVRSTWV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GYWTWH8WQ4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3HCVDKQ2T3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-18T04:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8CQLT7ZKP9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}