{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
  "slug": "kx2028drun-28",
  "question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "presidential-election",
    "democratic-party",
    "2028",
    "candidate-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether each named individual publicly announces a candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. All 38 contracts are structured as binary yes/no questions per candidate, resolved via Kalshi staff determination. Each contract is independent; markets price candidacy announcement, not nomination outcome. Resolution turns on a public announcement before January 1, 2028.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KJCRT0MBX9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.66,
    "implied_probability": 0.66,
    "as_of": "2026-10-21T03:45:34.106Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-023WWJMZ15",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028DRUN-28-CBOOK",
      "question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Cory Booker",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cory Booker: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate publicly announces candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET, based on reporting from major news outlets.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "price_as_of": "2026-10-21T00:45:29.831Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2028",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T06:01:08.931Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8VZFM96LQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028DRUN-28-HBID",
      "question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Hunter Biden",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hunter Biden: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate publicly announces candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET, based on reporting from major news outlets.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Hunter Biden announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": "2026-10-21T08:46:09.017Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.56,
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        "2028",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MY8MCNR3F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028DRUN-28-GNEW",
      "question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Gavin Newsom",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gavin Newsom: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate publicly announces candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET, based on reporting from major news outlets.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Gavin Newsom announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "name": "Politico",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.81,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BP4PL81698",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028DRUN-28-JSHA",
      "question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Josh Shapiro",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Josh Shapiro: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate publicly announces candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET, based on reporting from major news outlets.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Josh Shapiro announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "price_as_of": "2026-10-20T12:45:30.566Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "tags": [
        "2028",
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        "politician"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-330HD5DRZ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5H09B63413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028DRUN-28-PBUT",
      "question": "Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Pete Buttigieg",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Pete Buttigieg: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate publicly announces candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET, based on reporting from major news outlets.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "price_as_of": "2026-10-21T02:45:34.253Z",
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