{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
  "slug": "kx2028rrun-28",
  "question": "Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2028-election",
    "republican-nomination",
    "us-politics",
    "presidential-race",
    "candidate-field"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether named individuals file or announce a Republican presidential campaign by January 1, 2028. Kalshi lists each candidate as a separate binary contract, resolved by Kalshi staff determination. All 33 contracts share a single resolution date of January 1, 2028, at 3 p.m. ET. Resolution hinges on filing or announcement criteria, not on winning the nomination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6NHZLN97V1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.62,
    "implied_probability": 0.62
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QW56B29F59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN",
      "question": "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "J.D. Vance",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "J.D. Vance: Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET of whether the named candidate files or announces candidacy for the referenced party's presidential nomination.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If J.D. Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 19534.630500000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZT72N3QSP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028RRUN-28-DJT",
      "question": "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Donald J. Trump",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald J. Trump: Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET of whether the named candidate files or announces candidacy for the referenced party's presidential nomination.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald J. Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.099,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WQH4RTHGK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR",
      "question": "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Donald J. Trump Jr.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald J. Trump Jr.: Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET of whether the named candidate files or announces candidacy for the referenced party's presidential nomination.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald J. Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.21,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3RXZ6VYGK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028RRUN-28-TGAB",
      "question": "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Tulsi Gabbard",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tulsi Gabbard: Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET of whether the named candidate files or announces candidacy for the referenced party's presidential nomination.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "name": "Semafor",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "CBS",
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            "name": "The New York Times",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.22,
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      "tags": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DPW0NHKLJ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028RRUN-28-RDES",
      "question": "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Ron DeSantis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ron DeSantis: Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2028, 3 p.m. ET of whether the named candidate files or announces candidacy for the referenced party's presidential nomination.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "Fox News",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "CBS",
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            "name": "The New York Times",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
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            "name": "CNN",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "name": "Politico",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RS8NRW82W2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KX2028RRUN-28-VRAM",
      "question": "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?",
      "description": "Vivek Ramaswamy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-HZLRXQM5W7",
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}