{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
  "slug": "kxa100ws-26aug07",
  "question": "NVIDIA A100 compute price per hour, August 7, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      1.25
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.75,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 88
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.25,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.5,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.75,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-a100",
    "cloud-compute-pricing",
    "hourly-price",
    "hardware-costs",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the NVIDIA A100 spot compute price at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as seven binary strike thresholds from $0.50 to $2.00 per GPU-hour. The spread of implied probabilities across strikes functions as a synthetic price distribution for the underlying rate. Kalshi staff determination uses the Ornn dashboard as the authoritative price source at the specified observation time.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z9LWY47BZ4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.03,
    "implied_probability": 0.03
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GV3TFGMGH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-0.500",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $0.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $0.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.50: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 1658.25,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-A77D231270",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HHS4HPK4N5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-0.750",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $0.75 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $0.75",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.75: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $0.75 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 389.79,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-EDC0A8DD7F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J8CF7H3LB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-1.000",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $1.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.00: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1148.07,
      "volume_total_usd": 2892.7,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-1FDD7B481F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z9LWY47BZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-1.250",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1.25 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $1.25",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.25: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.25 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 119.67,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-002331E7C3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SQ6MWXX5Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-1.500",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1.5 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $1.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.50: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.5 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22.46,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-6CB94AF91E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R1FK0HT1K2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-1.750",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1.75 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $1.75",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.75: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.75 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18.8,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-5D73F20D85",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y16J2TW6G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26AUG07-2.000",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $2 at 4 PM ET on Aug 07?",
      "description": "Above $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.00: The Ornn dashboard price for the named GPU compute product at 4 PM ET on August 7, 2026 resolves the market, confirmed by Kalshi staff by August 14, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $2 on Aug 07, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22.28,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-05E67ECD2B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "hourly",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1Z02T44GH5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}