{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
  "slug": "kxa100ws-26jul24",
  "question": "The NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price at 4 PM ET on Jul 24",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      1.25
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.5,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.75,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 96
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.25,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.5,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.75,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-a100",
    "cloud-computing-pricing",
    "hourly-price-resolution",
    "week-30-2026",
    "gpu-infrastructure"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These seven Kalshi markets track the NVIDIA A100 spot compute price on July 24, 2026, at 4 PM ET. Each contract is a binary strike threshold, creating a synthetic price distribution across the $0.50 to $2.00 range. The spread between adjacent strikes implies a market-derived probability density for A100 hourly rates. Kalshi staff determination uses the Ornn compute pricing dashboard as the authoritative source at the specified observation time.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HR670TRK73",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.02,
    "implied_probability": 0.02
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MYXPKPWNN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-0.500",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $0.5 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $0.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.50: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $0.5 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 1601.89,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-85365A1AFE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XT54SCPLM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-0.750",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $0.75 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $0.75",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.75: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $0.75 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 2548.86,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-0508A3DCF1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VGF19YVLC7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-1.000",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $1.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.00: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 820.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 3321.16,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-F8BDC9F4BC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HR670TRK73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-1.250",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1.25 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $1.25",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.25: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.25 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 64.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 187.91,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.25,
      "question_id": "CMX-18AAA69606",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MTBSL8GT47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-1.500",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1.5 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $1.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.50: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.5 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23.86,
      "volume_total_usd": 184.59,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-1AE4371F83",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-32ZMQKNKC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-1.750",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $1.75 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $1.75",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.75: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.75 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 35.19,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.75,
      "question_id": "CMX-10670FB60E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZN7GJCQ4P5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXA100WS-26JUL24-2.000",
      "question": "Will the NVIDIA A100 compute per hour price be above $2 at 4 PM ET on Jul 24?",
      "description": "Above $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.00: The Ornn compute pricing dashboard measurement at 4 PM ET on July 24, 2026, determines whether the listed GPU's hourly compute price exceeds $1.00, with Kalshi staff verification by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $2 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). \n\nIf no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 31.84,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-2AA53C62BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "a100",
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia a100 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WBFQ3MN037",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}